Primary Submission Category: Causal Inference in Networks
Peer effects in the linear-in-means model may be inestimable even when identified
Authors: Alex Hayes, Keith Levin,
Presenting Author: Alex Hayes*
Linear-in-means models are widely used to investigate peer effects. Identifying peer effects in these models is challenging, but conditions for identification are well-known. However, even when peer effects are identified, they may not be estimable, due to an asymptotic colinearity issue: as sample size increases, peer effects become more and more linearly dependent. We show that asymptotic colinearity occurs whenever nodal covariates are independent of the network and the minimum degree of the network is growing. Asymptotic colinearity can cause estimators to be inconsistent or to converge at slower than expected rates. We also demonstrate that dependence between nodal covariates and network structure can alleviate colinearity issues in random dot product graphs. These results suggest that linear-in-means models are less reliable for studying peer influence than previously believed.